Cotton
futures are at their highest level in about a decade
The most
active cotton futures on the Intercontinental Exchange closed up 3.8 percent at
$1.09 a pound on Tuesday, keeping prices at their highest level since September
2011. Gold is up 22% over the past 11 trading days. Clothing prices may
eventually follow suit.
Prices
of other raw materials, such as timber, have soared this year as high demand
and tangled supply chains keep goods from reaching customers who need them.
Prices for other American crops, such as corn and wheat, have also risen
sharply this year because of drought conditions in the United States and
overseas. Cotton shows the sometimes unexpected impact trade policy can have on
prices.
Fund
traders added to bullish positions as US farmers began harvesting their crops,
according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The U.S. Department of
Agriculture reports that the national cotton harvest is 13 percent complete and
the crop looks good -- 62 percent of the crop is in good or excellent
condition, compared to 40 percent this time last year.
"Things
are good so the harvest should hold up well," said Jack Scoville, an
analyst at Price Futures Group.
Bryan,
Texas (KBTX) - Cotton prices have risen steadily over the past year. With the
sudden increase in the value of crops, we will see the impact when we buy
clothes.
Apparel
prices have risen 4.2 percent in the past year, according to the government
inflation report.
John
Robinson, an economist and Agrilife Extension professor at Texas A&M who
has been studying cotton trends, said the biggest price he saw in prices came
last week and a half.
"Cotton
prices have been trending, and I would say the 80s and 90s were pretty good. In
the last 10 days or so, it has soared. I would say about 15 cents, which is a
huge change, "Robinson said.
When it
comes to changing how much someone spends on clothes. While cotton does play a
role in price, other factors such as manufacturing costs, transportation costs
and overall branding also add to the final price. If demand for cotton gets out
of control, farmers will be prepared to plant more when needed.
"What
is going to happen before there is a big impact on apparel prices is that the
persistence of high cotton prices is going to encourage farmers here in the
United States to plant 20 to 3 million more acres, and that is going to happen
around the world, from Farmers in India to farmers in Brazil. They respond to
high prices by really increasing supply, "says John Robinson.
Cotton
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